Glossary

Everything explained, in one place.

Health Score

A 0 to 100 score that shows whether a live strategy is still working right now, compared with what its backtest expected.

[Scores]

Edge Score

A 0 to 100 score that grades how good a trading strategy is on its backtest, after costs, and how well that is proven.

[Scores]

Stability Score

A 0 to 100 score that measures whether a live strategy is delivering what its backtest promised, after costs.

[Scores]

Expectancy

What one average trade is worth to you, after the wins and losses cancel out.

[Statistics]

Sortino Ratio

How much return a strategy earns for the losses it actually makes you feel.

[Risk]

Maximum Drawdown

The deepest hole a strategy has dug you into, peak to bottom.

[Risk]

R Multiple

Every trade measured against what you risked, where a full stop is always minus 1R.

[Execution]

Overfitting

When a strategy is tuned so tightly to the past that it only works on the past.

[Statistics]

Out of Sample

The data your strategy never saw while you built it, kept back to test if the edge is real.

[Statistics]

Walk Forward

Out of sample testing done over and over, rolling through your whole history instead of one split.

[Statistics]

Monte Carlo

Reshuffling your trades thousands of times to see the range of outcomes luck could have handed you.

[Statistics]

Slippage

The gap between the price you expected and the price you actually got.

[Execution]

Trading Costs

Broker-reported commissions and fees, plus components computed from an exact verified schedule.

[Execution]

Live vs Backtest

The gap between how a strategy looked in testing and how it performs with real money.

[Execution]

Forward Testing

Running a strategy on new market data in real time, before you risk real money on it.

[Execution]

Tilt

The emotional state where you stop trading your system and start trading your feelings.

[Psychology]

Revenge Trading

Trying to win back a loss right away by forcing trades you never planned.

[Psychology]

Discipline

Following your system the same way every time, especially when you don't feel like it.

[Psychology]

Consistency

Producing steady, repeatable results by trading the same way every time.

[Psychology]

Sharpe Ratio

How much return a strategy earns for every unit of risk it takes.

[Risk]

Volatility

How much and how fast a strategy's returns swing around.

[Risk]

Profit Factor

How many dollars you make for every dollar you lose.

[Statistics]

Win Rate

The share of your trades that end in a win.

[Statistics]

Position Sizing

How many units you trade, set so one loss costs what you decided in advance and not an unknown amount.

[Risk]

Risk of Ruin

The chance your account reaches the level you call ruin before your edge has time to show up.

[Risk]

Risk per Trade

The percentage of your account you lose when one trade hits its stop.

[Risk]

Drawdown Recovery

The gain you need to get back to your last peak after a negative period.

[Risk]

Risk Reward Ratio

How much a winner pays compared with what a loser costs.

[Execution]

Stop Loss

The order that closes a losing trade at a price you (hopefully) picked before you entered.

[Execution]

Take Profit

The exit that closes a winning trade at a price you set before executing.

[Execution]

Leverage

Borrowed buying power that lets you hold a position bigger than the cash you put down.

[Execution]

Backtesting

Running a strategy's rules over past prices to see how they would have done.

[Statistics]

Look-Ahead Bias

When a backtest uses information the strategy couldn't have known at the moment it traded.

[Statistics]

Survivorship Bias

Testing only on what is still around, and forgetting everything that went to zero.

[Statistics]

Data Snooping

Testing so many versions of a strategy on the same data that one of them wins by luck.

[Statistics]

Turn trading knowledge into evidence.